Title :
Modeling historical traffic data using artificial neural networks
Author :
Ghanim, Mohammad S. ; Abu-Lebdeh, Ghassan ; Ahmed, Khandakar
Author_Institution :
Civil Eng. Dept., American Univ. in Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Abstract :
The Design-Hour Volume (DHV), which is defined as the 30th highest hour volume in a year, is a significant concept in transportation engineering and planning. Finding the DHV requires hourly traffic counts for an entire year. However, this becomes a challengeable task when part of the data is not collected because of different reasons, such as construction activities or hardware failure. In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach is used to develop a DHV prediction model based on historical traffic counts. The model takes into account the correlation between DHV and other variables such as AADT, functional classification, and number of lanes. Results show that the ANN model is capable of providing accurate and reliable DHV estimates.
Keywords :
correlation theory; data models; neural nets; pattern classification; planning; prediction theory; road traffic; transportation; AADT; ANN model; DHV prediction model; artificial neural network; correlation; design-hour volume; functional classification; highest hour volume; historical traffic count; historical traffic data modeling; hourly traffic count; transportation engineering; transportation planning; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Predictive models; Radiation detectors; Testing; Training; Transportation; Artificial Neural Networks; Design Hour Volume; Historical Traffic Modeling; Traffic Forecast;
Conference_Titel :
Modeling, Simulation and Applied Optimization (ICMSAO), 2013 5th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hammamet
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-5812-5
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSAO.2013.6552717