Title :
A N-Order Grey-GA Optimizer to Forecast Taiwan Pollution Trends
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Manage. & Enterprise Inf., Aletheia Univ., New Taipei, Taiwan
Abstract :
This research designs a novel n-order grey model (GM) to predict import and export effects on air pollution trends in Taiwan. We also present an optimal refiner of Grey-Genetic Algorithms (GGA) to improve GM efficiency. In our test-beds, we propose several GM models for the prediction of air pollution trends. The simple model (GM(1, 1)) and the n-order multiple model (GM(1, N) and RGM(1, N)) are utilized in air pollution prediction that was evaluated on their performances. These GM models are compared with those of the import and export data from Taiwan manufacturers. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the (GM(1, N) and RGM(1, N)) model presented the better accuracy than GM(1, 1). The experimental results also show that the GGA controller can refine the prediction accuracy of GM models. This research is successfully applied these N-order multiple GM models for producing more accuracy information for pollution control.
Keywords :
air pollution; genetic algorithms; grey systems; queueing theory; GM(1,1) model; N-order grey-GA optimizer model; N-order multiple GM models; RGM(1, N) model; Taiwan air pollution trend forecasting; air pollution prediction; grey-genetic algorithms; Accuracy; Atmospheric modeling; Data models; Forecasting; Industries; Pollution; Predictive models; Forecasting Model; Genetic Algorithms; Grey Theory;
Conference_Titel :
e-Business Engineering (ICEBE), 2013 IEEE 10th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Coventry
DOI :
10.1109/ICEBE.2013.57