• DocumentCode
    655300
  • Title

    A N-Order Grey-GA Optimizer to Forecast Taiwan Pollution Trends

  • Author

    Chen-Fang Tsai

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Ind. Manage. & Enterprise Inf., Aletheia Univ., New Taipei, Taiwan
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    11-13 Sept. 2013
  • Firstpage
    370
  • Lastpage
    376
  • Abstract
    This research designs a novel n-order grey model (GM) to predict import and export effects on air pollution trends in Taiwan. We also present an optimal refiner of Grey-Genetic Algorithms (GGA) to improve GM efficiency. In our test-beds, we propose several GM models for the prediction of air pollution trends. The simple model (GM(1, 1)) and the n-order multiple model (GM(1, N) and RGM(1, N)) are utilized in air pollution prediction that was evaluated on their performances. These GM models are compared with those of the import and export data from Taiwan manufacturers. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the (GM(1, N) and RGM(1, N)) model presented the better accuracy than GM(1, 1). The experimental results also show that the GGA controller can refine the prediction accuracy of GM models. This research is successfully applied these N-order multiple GM models for producing more accuracy information for pollution control.
  • Keywords
    air pollution; genetic algorithms; grey systems; queueing theory; GM(1,1) model; N-order grey-GA optimizer model; N-order multiple GM models; RGM(1, N) model; Taiwan air pollution trend forecasting; air pollution prediction; grey-genetic algorithms; Accuracy; Atmospheric modeling; Data models; Forecasting; Industries; Pollution; Predictive models; Forecasting Model; Genetic Algorithms; Grey Theory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    e-Business Engineering (ICEBE), 2013 IEEE 10th International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Coventry
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICEBE.2013.57
  • Filename
    6686290