Evaluation of loss of load probability and expected energy generation in multi-area interconnected systems with wind generating units

This paper presents a methodology to evaluate the loss of load probability (LOLP) and expected energy generation (EEG) of multi area interconnected systems with wind generators, as well as conventional fossil fuel based generating units. Wind generators are practical alternatives to meet the huge electrical energy demand with minimum cost, particularly in those areas where the wind profiles are suitable. Extending the previously reported segmentation method, the proposed model is also capable of tracking the energy export incorporating the multi-state probability model for wind generator which output varies with time and season.