DocumentCode
675019
Title
The grey interval prediction method and its reliability
Author
Yinao Wang ; Lifeng Wu
Author_Institution
Sch. of Econ., Huazhong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Wuhan, China
fYear
2013
fDate
15-17 Nov. 2013
Firstpage
131
Lastpage
134
Abstract
The interval forecasting prediction interval and its reliability is discussed. A forecasting method puts forward a process of prediction interval. It also elaborates on the meaning of interval (the probability of the prediction interval including the real value of predicted variable). The prediction interval is categorized into three types. Three axioms that construction predicted interval must satisfy are put forward. Grey wrapping band forecasting method is improved based on the proposed axioms.
Keywords
forecasting theory; grey systems; probability; reliability theory; axioms; forecasting prediction interval; grey interval prediction method; grey wrapping band forecasting method; predicted variable; probability; reliability; Educational institutions; Forecasting; Indexes; Prediction methods; Reliability theory; Wrapping; grey interval prediction; grey wrapping band; reliability;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Macao
ISSN
2166-9430
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-5247-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/GSIS.2013.6714748
Filename
6714748
Link To Document