• DocumentCode
    675022
  • Title

    GM(1,1) in bankruptcy syndrome modelling

  • Author

    Delcea, Camelia ; Bradea, Ioana ; Scarlat, Emil ; Chirita, Nora ; Popescu, Bogdan

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Econ. Inf. & Cybern., Bucharest Acad. of Econ. Studies, Bucharest, Romania
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    15-17 Nov. 2013
  • Firstpage
    182
  • Lastpage
    186
  • Abstract
    The present paper tries to give a whole new vision on the firm´s future evolution forecasting. By taking into account some of the current values of its symptoms and applying one of the most used models in the grey systems theory, namely the GM(1,1), some predictions related to its future symptoms´ values can be determined. Having these values and the grey economic-financial matrix, K, the future diseases that can hit a company can be depicted along with their causes. Furthermore, knowing and understanding these causes, the manager can action on a manner that can make the difference between a bankrupt and a real successful firm.
  • Keywords
    bankruptcy; forecasting theory; grey systems; GM(1,1); bankruptcy syndrome modelling; firm future evolution forecasting; grey economic-financial matrix; grey system theory; symptom values; Biological system modeling; Companies; Data models; Diseases; Economics; Mathematical model; Predictive models; 1); GM (1; bankruptcy syndrome; forecasting; grey modelling; knowledge matrix;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2013 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Macao
  • ISSN
    2166-9430
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-5247-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2013.6714761
  • Filename
    6714761