Title :
GM(1,1) in bankruptcy syndrome modelling
Author :
Delcea, Camelia ; Bradea, Ioana ; Scarlat, Emil ; Chirita, Nora ; Popescu, Bogdan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Econ. Inf. & Cybern., Bucharest Acad. of Econ. Studies, Bucharest, Romania
Abstract :
The present paper tries to give a whole new vision on the firm´s future evolution forecasting. By taking into account some of the current values of its symptoms and applying one of the most used models in the grey systems theory, namely the GM(1,1), some predictions related to its future symptoms´ values can be determined. Having these values and the grey economic-financial matrix, K, the future diseases that can hit a company can be depicted along with their causes. Furthermore, knowing and understanding these causes, the manager can action on a manner that can make the difference between a bankrupt and a real successful firm.
Keywords :
bankruptcy; forecasting theory; grey systems; GM(1,1); bankruptcy syndrome modelling; firm future evolution forecasting; grey economic-financial matrix; grey system theory; symptom values; Biological system modeling; Companies; Data models; Diseases; Economics; Mathematical model; Predictive models; 1); GM (1; bankruptcy syndrome; forecasting; grey modelling; knowledge matrix;
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Macao
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-5247-5
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2013.6714761