DocumentCode
675022
Title
GM(1,1) in bankruptcy syndrome modelling
Author
Delcea, Camelia ; Bradea, Ioana ; Scarlat, Emil ; Chirita, Nora ; Popescu, Bogdan
Author_Institution
Dept. of Econ. Inf. & Cybern., Bucharest Acad. of Econ. Studies, Bucharest, Romania
fYear
2013
fDate
15-17 Nov. 2013
Firstpage
182
Lastpage
186
Abstract
The present paper tries to give a whole new vision on the firm´s future evolution forecasting. By taking into account some of the current values of its symptoms and applying one of the most used models in the grey systems theory, namely the GM(1,1), some predictions related to its future symptoms´ values can be determined. Having these values and the grey economic-financial matrix, K, the future diseases that can hit a company can be depicted along with their causes. Furthermore, knowing and understanding these causes, the manager can action on a manner that can make the difference between a bankrupt and a real successful firm.
Keywords
bankruptcy; forecasting theory; grey systems; GM(1,1); bankruptcy syndrome modelling; firm future evolution forecasting; grey economic-financial matrix; grey system theory; symptom values; Biological system modeling; Companies; Data models; Diseases; Economics; Mathematical model; Predictive models; 1); GM (1; bankruptcy syndrome; forecasting; grey modelling; knowledge matrix;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Macao
ISSN
2166-9430
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-5247-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/GSIS.2013.6714761
Filename
6714761
Link To Document