DocumentCode
682345
Title
GM (1,1) model application in power load forecasting based on moving average method
Author
Qian Zhu ; Xiangdan Jia
Author_Institution
Econ. & Bus. Dept., Hebei Finance Univ., Baoding, China
fYear
2013
fDate
23-24 Dec. 2013
Firstpage
289
Lastpage
291
Abstract
Grey prediction has advantages of need less historical data, foperating speed is fast, algorithm is simple, easy to test, so it is suitable for use in power load forecasting. But grey model has some limitations, the data dispersion degree is more bigger, the gray is also more bigger, it will reduce the accuracy of prediction. This paper adopts the moving average method to improve the raw data, so as to increase the data weights, while avoiding predicted value excessive volatility, So it can improve the load forecast accuracy.
Keywords
load forecasting; data dispersion degree; grey model; grey prediction; moving average method; power load forecasting; Analytical models; Data models; Error analysis; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Grey prediction; Load forecasting; Prediction accuracy; Sliding average method;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Instrumentation and Measurement, Sensor Network and Automation (IMSNA), 2013 2nd International Symposium on
Conference_Location
Toronto, ON
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IMSNA.2013.6743271
Filename
6743271
Link To Document