• DocumentCode
    682345
  • Title

    GM (1,1) model application in power load forecasting based on moving average method

  • Author

    Qian Zhu ; Xiangdan Jia

  • Author_Institution
    Econ. & Bus. Dept., Hebei Finance Univ., Baoding, China
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    23-24 Dec. 2013
  • Firstpage
    289
  • Lastpage
    291
  • Abstract
    Grey prediction has advantages of need less historical data, foperating speed is fast, algorithm is simple, easy to test, so it is suitable for use in power load forecasting. But grey model has some limitations, the data dispersion degree is more bigger, the gray is also more bigger, it will reduce the accuracy of prediction. This paper adopts the moving average method to improve the raw data, so as to increase the data weights, while avoiding predicted value excessive volatility, So it can improve the load forecast accuracy.
  • Keywords
    load forecasting; data dispersion degree; grey model; grey prediction; moving average method; power load forecasting; Analytical models; Data models; Error analysis; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Grey prediction; Load forecasting; Prediction accuracy; Sliding average method;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Instrumentation and Measurement, Sensor Network and Automation (IMSNA), 2013 2nd International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Toronto, ON
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IMSNA.2013.6743271
  • Filename
    6743271