Title :
Linguistic fuzzy modeling approach for daily peak load forecasting
Author :
Jungwon Yu ; Hansoo Lee ; Yeongsang Jeong ; Sungshin Kim
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. & Comput. Eng., Pusan Nat. Univ., Busan, South Korea
Abstract :
Electric load forecasting is absolutely necessary for effective power system planning and operation. Among existing methods for load forecasting, artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) have shown good forecasting performance. However, ANN and SVR have two drawbacks: 1) black box problem that we don´t know how the prediction models work, 2) high model´s complexity by using many inputs such as type of day indicators (calendar information).
Keywords :
linguistics; load forecasting; neural nets; power system analysis computing; power system planning; regression analysis; support vector machines; ANN; SVR; artificial neural network; daily peak load forecasting; electric load forecasting; linguistic fuzzy modeling; power system planning; support vector regression; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Educational institutions; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Pragmatics; Predictive models; Peak load forecasting; linguistic fuzzy modeling; model-based input selection;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Theory and Its Applications (iFUZZY), 2013 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Taipei
DOI :
10.1109/iFuzzy.2013.6825420