Title :
Short-Term Load Forecasting with WNN Based on Body Amenity Indicator
Author :
Wu Liang ; Qian Rutao ; Peng Daogang ; Zhang Hao
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Autom. Eng., Shanghai Univ. of Electr. Power, Shanghai, China
Abstract :
Power system short-term load forecasting have a significant role in the power system planning and reliable operation. This paper compared the result of two prediction models BP neural network and wavelet neural network (WNN). According to comparison results, WNN model in the case of the same number of nodes have better predictive accuracy. In order to achieve the balance of the least input neurons and prediction precision, the regionality human body amenity indicator is used as the input of meteorological factors. Meanwhile, in order to take full advantage of the historical load data, improve the prediction precision, the concept of innovation is introduced and the load data of forecast base day is included in the input range. The model is verified by using the actual data, the results show that the prediction results is accurate and the model in practical and effective.
Keywords :
backpropagation; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power system planning; power system reliability; wavelet neural nets; BP neural network; WNN; meteorological factors; power system operation reliability; power system planning; power system short-term load forecasting; regionality human body amenity indicator; wavelet neural network; Biological neural networks; Indexes; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Predictive models; WNN; body amenity indicator; hourly weather factor; short-term load forecasting; the concept of innovation;
Conference_Titel :
Computer Sciences and Applications (CSA), 2013 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
DOI :
10.1109/CSA.2013.190