Schedule risk analysis in construction project using RFMEA and Bayesian networks: The Cali-Colombia case study

Author

Mican, C.A. ; Jimenez, Victor ; Perez, J.M. ; Borrero, J.A.

Author_Institution

Dept. of Ind. Eng., Univ. del Valle, Cali, Colombia

fYear

2013

fDate

10-13 Dec. 2013

Firstpage

415

Lastpage

419

Abstract

The projects in the construction sector are developed in complex and dynamic circumstances due to uncertainties and risks. The schedule risk is the probability that the project exceeds the initial programming, for which several methodologies are proposed; on the other hand very few of them have been used in countries where the economies are in development. This paper presents a case study of the construction industry in the city of Cali-Colombia, integrating the RMFEA prioritization method and the Bayesian Networks model for the schedule risk analysis in construction projects. It will be possible to identify the main own risks in this type of projects and the impact that they have in the probability of finishing the project on time.

Keywords

belief networks; construction industry; failure analysis; probability; production engineering computing; risk analysis; scheduling; Bayesian networks; Cali-Colombia; RMFEA prioritization method; construction industry; construction project; probability; risk failure mode and effects analysis; schedule risk analysis; Bayes methods; Delays; Programming; Project management; Risk analysis; Schedules; Bayesian networks; RFMEA; construction projects; risk schedule;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM), 2013 IEEE International Conference on

Conference_Location

Bangkok

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/IEEM.2013.6962445

Filename

6962445