DocumentCode
694766
Title
The Model of Population Projection by Delay Differential Equation with Two Lags
Author
Liqiang Fan
Author_Institution
Dept. of Inf. & Comput. Sci., LangFang Teacher´s Coll., LangFang, China
fYear
2013
fDate
7-8 Dec. 2013
Firstpage
452
Lastpage
457
Abstract
In order to give the more reasonable models of population projections, delay differential equations with two lags were considered. By analysing the relative growth rate of population, the growth function of population which determined by the maximum age and minimum age of new mothers might be more suitable. Because of the model does not have analytic solution, numerical method gives the result of the delay differential equation, and the population of America and population in the world tests the rationality of the model. The result of the model agrees with the actual when give the appropriate parameters and some reasonable assumptions.
Keywords
demography; differential equations; America; delay differential equations; maximum age; minimum age; new mothers; population projections; relative population growth rate; Biological system modeling; Delays; Differential equations; Equations; Mathematical model; Sociology; Statistics; fitting; lag; logistic equation; numerical method; relative growth rate;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Science and Cloud Computing Companion (ISCC-C), 2013 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Guangzhou
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ISCC-C.2013.141
Filename
6973634
Link To Document