DocumentCode :
694766
Title :
The Model of Population Projection by Delay Differential Equation with Two Lags
Author :
Liqiang Fan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Inf. & Comput. Sci., LangFang Teacher´s Coll., LangFang, China
fYear :
2013
fDate :
7-8 Dec. 2013
Firstpage :
452
Lastpage :
457
Abstract :
In order to give the more reasonable models of population projections, delay differential equations with two lags were considered. By analysing the relative growth rate of population, the growth function of population which determined by the maximum age and minimum age of new mothers might be more suitable. Because of the model does not have analytic solution, numerical method gives the result of the delay differential equation, and the population of America and population in the world tests the rationality of the model. The result of the model agrees with the actual when give the appropriate parameters and some reasonable assumptions.
Keywords :
demography; differential equations; America; delay differential equations; maximum age; minimum age; new mothers; population projections; relative population growth rate; Biological system modeling; Delays; Differential equations; Equations; Mathematical model; Sociology; Statistics; fitting; lag; logistic equation; numerical method; relative growth rate;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Information Science and Cloud Computing Companion (ISCC-C), 2013 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISCC-C.2013.141
Filename :
6973634
Link To Document :
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