• DocumentCode
    694766
  • Title

    The Model of Population Projection by Delay Differential Equation with Two Lags

  • Author

    Liqiang Fan

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Inf. & Comput. Sci., LangFang Teacher´s Coll., LangFang, China
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    7-8 Dec. 2013
  • Firstpage
    452
  • Lastpage
    457
  • Abstract
    In order to give the more reasonable models of population projections, delay differential equations with two lags were considered. By analysing the relative growth rate of population, the growth function of population which determined by the maximum age and minimum age of new mothers might be more suitable. Because of the model does not have analytic solution, numerical method gives the result of the delay differential equation, and the population of America and population in the world tests the rationality of the model. The result of the model agrees with the actual when give the appropriate parameters and some reasonable assumptions.
  • Keywords
    demography; differential equations; America; delay differential equations; maximum age; minimum age; new mothers; population projections; relative population growth rate; Biological system modeling; Delays; Differential equations; Equations; Mathematical model; Sociology; Statistics; fitting; lag; logistic equation; numerical method; relative growth rate;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Science and Cloud Computing Companion (ISCC-C), 2013 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Guangzhou
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISCC-C.2013.141
  • Filename
    6973634