Title :
The Model of Population Projection by Delay Differential Equation with Two Lags
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Inf. & Comput. Sci., LangFang Teacher´s Coll., LangFang, China
Abstract :
In order to give the more reasonable models of population projections, delay differential equations with two lags were considered. By analysing the relative growth rate of population, the growth function of population which determined by the maximum age and minimum age of new mothers might be more suitable. Because of the model does not have analytic solution, numerical method gives the result of the delay differential equation, and the population of America and population in the world tests the rationality of the model. The result of the model agrees with the actual when give the appropriate parameters and some reasonable assumptions.
Keywords :
demography; differential equations; America; delay differential equations; maximum age; minimum age; new mothers; population projections; relative population growth rate; Biological system modeling; Delays; Differential equations; Equations; Mathematical model; Sociology; Statistics; fitting; lag; logistic equation; numerical method; relative growth rate;
Conference_Titel :
Information Science and Cloud Computing Companion (ISCC-C), 2013 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou
DOI :
10.1109/ISCC-C.2013.141