Title :
A WNN-CSO model for accurate forecasting of chaotic and nonlinear time series
Author :
Nanda, Satyasai Jagannath
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electron. & Commun. Eng., Malaviya Nat. Inst. of Technol. Jaipur, Jaipur, India
Abstract :
Accurate forecasting of chaotic and nonlinear time series has been a key area of research in last two decades. They find extensive applications in stock market prediction, forecasting weather conditions, determining the inferences of chemical reactions and many more. The manuscript deals with development of a new hybrid model based on Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) trained by Cat Swarm Optimization (CSO). The performance of the proposed model is accessed on benchmark time series like `Mackey-Glass´ and `Box Jenkins´. Comparison with WNN-PSO, Chebyshev FLANN and MLP-BP models reveal the superior performance of the proposed model in terms of response matching, Minimum MSE and lower SSE values achieved. Therefore the WNN-CSO model is a preferred candidate for accurate prediction of Chaotic and Nonlinear time series.
Keywords :
backpropagation; forecasting theory; multilayer perceptrons; optimisation; time series; wavelet neural nets; Box Jenkins time series; Chebyshev FLANN; MLP-BP models; Mackey-Glass time series; WNN-CSO model; accurate chaotic time series forecasting; cat swarm optimization; chemical reactions; nonlinear time series forecasting; stock market prediction; wavelet neural network; weather conditions forecasting; Frequency modulation; Cat Swarm Optimization; Chaotic Time Series Prediction; Chebyshev FLANN; PSO; Wavelet Neural Network;
Conference_Titel :
Signal Processing, Informatics, Communication and Energy Systems (SPICES), 2015 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kozhikode
DOI :
10.1109/SPICES.2015.7091522