Smart grids reliability indices assessment using sequential Monte Carlo method

Author

Mancasi, Monica ; Vatu, Ramona

Author_Institution

Electr. Power Syst. Dept., Univ. Politeh. of Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania

fYear

2015

fDate

10-13 June 2015

Firstpage

2066

Lastpage

2071

Abstract

This work is aimed at making a comprehensive evaluation of the probability density functions (PDFs) of a set of reliability indices applied to electricity distribution systems - including frequency and duration of interruptions, power and energy not supplied. By considering the number of occurrences and duration of the interruptions as random variables (RVs), the indices become RVs and are evaluated through analytical expressions for computing their expected values and variances and with the Monte Carlo method in order to obtain the PDFs.

Keywords

Monte Carlo methods; distribution networks; probability; reliability; smart power grids; electricity distribution systems; probability density functions; random variables; sequential Monte Carlo method; smart grids reliability indices assessment; Circuit breakers; Circuit faults; Distribution functions; Histograms; Monte Carlo methods; Power system reliability; Reliability; Monte Carlo Method; distribution network; probability density functions; reliability; smart grid;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Environment and Electrical Engineering (EEEIC), 2015 IEEE 15th International Conference on

Conference_Location

Rome

Print_ISBN

978-1-4799-7992-9

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/EEEIC.2015.7165495

Filename

7165495