Optimization of availability operation via simulated prognostics

In this work, the authors study the possibility to use the simulated prognostic with the aim to minimize the maintenance costs. The authors propose the introduction of the uncertainties in the input parameters including those of the degradation material laws obtaining precise and accurate predictions of the process evolution. The use of this procedure has the great advantage of the minimization of the maintenance costs compulsorily linked to the prognostic applied to the maintained system. Two applications are also described.