DocumentCode :
735487
Title :
Real time prediction of unoccupied parking space using time series model
Author :
Fengquan Yu ; Jianhua Guo ; Xiaobo Zhu ; Guogang Shi
Author_Institution :
Intell. Transp. Syst. Res. Center, Southeast Univ., Nanjing, China
fYear :
2015
fDate :
25-28 June 2015
Firstpage :
370
Lastpage :
374
Abstract :
Parking guidance system is an important mean to alleviate status quo of urban static traffic, improve the level of city traffic management and protect the urban environment. Timely and accurate information of remaining berths plays an important role in the parking guidance system which guides the driver to find a parking space efficiently. Therefore, this paper focused on the prediction methods of the unoccupied parking space. Then ARIMA model was selected to forecast the unoccupied parking space. And residual berths forecast model was established based on the general process of ARIMA model. At last, the paper combined the actual data to test the accuracy of forecast and compared with the effect of neural network prediction. Thus, the effectiveness and applicability of ARIMA model to predict residual berths were verified.
Keywords :
neural nets; real-time systems; time series; traffic engineering computing; ARIMA model; city traffic management; neural network prediction; parking guidance system; real time prediction; time series model; unoccupied parking space; urban static traffic; Analytical models; Correlation; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Real-time systems; Time series analysis; Transportation; ARIMA model; neural network; parking guidance system; real time prediction;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS), 2015 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-8693-4
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232145
Filename :
7232145
Link To Document :
بازگشت