• DocumentCode
    737057
  • Title

    The Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on the Neural Network of Logistic Mapping Phase Space Reconstruction

  • Author

    Yajun, Han ; Xiaoqiang, Yang

  • fYear
    2015
  • fDate
    13-14 June 2015
  • Firstpage
    1287
  • Lastpage
    1290
  • Abstract
    It is difficult to be accurately predicted for wind power generation´s random, intermittent and volatility. According to the strong chaotic characteristics of wind speed, the optimal time delay and embedding dimensions of wind speed are determined by using a short-term prediction of phase space reconstruction theory. After the sample space is reconstructed, the short-term wind speed is carried out by BP neural network. The experimental results show that the higher forecasting accuracy of short-term power generation can be obtained.
  • Keywords
    Correlation; Delays; Forecasting; Logistics; Neural networks; Time series analysis; Wind speed; BP neural network; Phase space reconstruction; complex self-correlation method; false zero method; wind speed forecast;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Measuring Technology and Mechatronics Automation (ICMTMA), 2015 Seventh International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanchang, China
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-7142-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMTMA.2015.314
  • Filename
    7263810