Title :
Day-Ahead Power Output Forecasting for Small-Scale Solar Photovoltaic Electricity Generators
Author :
Yue Zhang ; Beaudin, Marc ; Taheri, Raouf ; Zareipour, Hamidreza ; Wood, David
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. & Comput. Eng., Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
Abstract :
Because of the rapid growth of small-scale solar electricity generation over the past few years, forecasting solar power output is becoming more important. However, changes in weather conditions cause solar power generation to be highly volatile. This paper analyses the challenges of solar power forecasting and then presents a similar day-based forecasting tool to do 24-h-ahead forecasting for small-scale solar power output forecasting.
Keywords :
load forecasting; photovoltaic power systems; day-ahead power output forecasting; small-scale solar photovoltaic electricity generators; small-scale solar power output forecasting; solar power forecasting; Clouds; Electricity; Engines; Forecasting; Predictive models; Weather forecasting; Forecasting; prediction; similar day; solar power;
Journal_Title :
Smart Grid, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TSG.2015.2397003