Development and validation of a physically-based computer model for predicting winter electric heating loads

Author

Nehrir, M.H. ; Dolan, P.S. ; Gerez, V. ; Jameson, W.J.

Author_Institution

Dept. of Electr. Eng., Montana State Univ., Bozeman, MT, USA

Volume

10

Issue

1

fYear

1995

fDate

2/1/1995 12:00:00 AM

Firstpage

266

Lastpage

272

Abstract

This paper presents the development and validation of a physically-based computer model for predicting electric heating loads on distribution feeders. A practical method of obtaining model parameter values is given. Simulation results are given and compared with actual electric utility data from a distribution feeder in a residential area. The proposed model has been found to be useful for predicting the magnitude of the utility line currents associated with the cold load pickup of heating loads as well as for load management and load forecasting purposes

Keywords

Monte Carlo methods; digital simulation; distribution networks; electric heating; load forecasting; power system analysis computing; cold load pickup; development; distribution feeders; electric utility; load forecasting; load management; load prediction; physically-based computer model; residential area; utility line currents; validation; winter electric heating loads; Aggregates; Computational modeling; Load modeling; Physics computing; Power demand; Power supplies; Predictive models; Resistance heating; Temperature control; Water heating;

fLanguage

English

Journal_Title

Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on

Publisher

ieee

ISSN

0885-8950

Type

jour

DOI

10.1109/59.373949

Filename

373949