A study of uncertain state estimation

In this paper, we present results of uncertain state estimation of systems that are monitored with limited accuracy. For these systems, the representation of state uncertainty as confidence intervals offers significant advantages over the more traditional approaches with probabilistic representation of noise. While the filtered-white-Gaussian noise model can be defined on grounds of mathematical convenience, its use is necessarily coupled with a hope that an estimator with good properties in idealised noise will still perform well in real noise. In this study we propose a more realistic approach of matching the noise representation to the extent of prior knowledge. Both interval and ellipsoidal representation of noise illustrate the principle of keeping the noise model simple while allowing for iterative refinement of the noise as we proceed. We evaluate one nonlinear and three linear state estimation technique both in terms of computational efficiency and the cardinality of the state uncertainty sets. The techniques are illustrated on a synthetic and a real-life system.