Title :
Forced-outage rates of generating units based on expert evaluation
Author :
Noor, S. Fayyaz ; McDonald, J.R.
Author_Institution :
Strathclyde Univ., Glasgow, UK
fDate :
3/1/1996 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
The uncertainties relating to the forced outage rates (FOR) of power system generating units are important in studies such as long-term generation expansion planning. These uncertainties might be better understood by experts in the field. Expert evaluations can be modeled with fuzzy set theory, and the fuzzy-FOR so calculated reflects the conditions of operation and maintenance of the units more realistically
Keywords :
electrical faults; fuzzy set theory; maintenance engineering; power stations; power system planning; power system reliability; expert evaluation; forced outage rates; fuzzy set theory; long-term generation expansion; maintenance; power system generating units; reliability; Availability; Electric breakdown; Exponential distribution; Fuzzy set theory; Performance analysis; Possibility theory; Power generation; Reliability theory; Steady-state; Uncertainty;
Journal_Title :
Reliability, IEEE Transactions on
