An Analytic Tool for Prediction of Hemodynamic Responses to Vasopressors

This paper presents a new analytic tool for automated control of vasopressor infusion, which uses measured changes in blood pressure to infer changes in the underlying cardiovascular system and then estimate dose-response relationships for the underlying cardinal cardiovascular parameters, i.e., those related to cardiac output (CO) and total peripheral resistance (TPR). Ultimately, blood pressure as a function of vasopressor dose is predicted based on the estimated underlying cardiovascular state by extrapolating the dose-response relationship. As well, this tool adapts to individual subjects with a minimum of individualized training data. In this report, proof-of-principle is provided using experimental epinephrine dose-response data from four different sets of subjects. Given two observations from different infusion rates, the analytic tool was able to accurately predict the groups´ blood pressure, heart rate, TPR, stroke volume, and CO as a function of vasopressor dose levels: the root-mean-squared prediction error for the mean arterial pressure (MAP) was consistently smaller than 5% of the underlying MAP; the r² values for the TPR, stroke volume, and CO were consistently higher than 0.96; and the limits of agreement between actual versus predicted blood pressure (BP), TPR, stroke volume, and CO were consistently smaller than 8% of the respective underlying values. The proposed analytic tool may provide a meaningful step towards automated control of vasopressor therapy.