DocumentCode
896570
Title
Epistemic utility estimation
Author
Morrell, Darryl R.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ, USA
Volume
23
Issue
1
fYear
1993
Firstpage
129
Lastpage
140
Abstract
An epistemological model of rational decision-making, developed by Issac Levi, is applied to the estimation problem. The estimators thus developed are optimal with respect to an epistemic utility function that accounts for the cost of error, the decision agent´s assessment of informational value and the decision agent´s specified willingness to risk errors in exchange for information acquisition; the estimators are inherently set-valued. Levi´s stable acceptance procedure is applied to the estimation process, facilitating the use of unnormalized probability densities. The convergence of the stable acceptance process is proven and it is shown that it results in a classical maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator as a special case. A representation theorem is also proven that makes computation of the estimates possible. Two examples are provided to illustrate the theory
Keywords
cooperative systems; knowledge acquisition; maximum likelihood estimation; Levi´s stable acceptance procedure; MAP estimator; epistemic utility function; epistemological model; estimation process; information acquisition; informational value; rational decision-making; representation theorem; unnormalized probability densities; Application software; Automation; Convergence; Cost function; Decision making; Estimation theory; Helium; High performance computing; Humans; Knowledge acquisition;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9472
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/21.214772
Filename
214772
Link To Document