• DocumentCode
    896570
  • Title

    Epistemic utility estimation

  • Author

    Morrell, Darryl R.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr. Eng., Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ, USA
  • Volume
    23
  • Issue
    1
  • fYear
    1993
  • Firstpage
    129
  • Lastpage
    140
  • Abstract
    An epistemological model of rational decision-making, developed by Issac Levi, is applied to the estimation problem. The estimators thus developed are optimal with respect to an epistemic utility function that accounts for the cost of error, the decision agent´s assessment of informational value and the decision agent´s specified willingness to risk errors in exchange for information acquisition; the estimators are inherently set-valued. Levi´s stable acceptance procedure is applied to the estimation process, facilitating the use of unnormalized probability densities. The convergence of the stable acceptance process is proven and it is shown that it results in a classical maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator as a special case. A representation theorem is also proven that makes computation of the estimates possible. Two examples are provided to illustrate the theory
  • Keywords
    cooperative systems; knowledge acquisition; maximum likelihood estimation; Levi´s stable acceptance procedure; MAP estimator; epistemic utility function; epistemological model; estimation process; information acquisition; informational value; rational decision-making; representation theorem; unnormalized probability densities; Application software; Automation; Convergence; Cost function; Decision making; Estimation theory; Helium; High performance computing; Humans; Knowledge acquisition;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9472
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/21.214772
  • Filename
    214772