On the design of nonlinear discrete-time predictors (Corresp.)

The problem of minimum mean-squared error prediction of a discrete-time random process using a nonlinear filter consisting of a zero-memory nonlinearity followed by a linear filter is studied. Classes of random processes for which the best predictor is realizable using a nonlinear filter of the above form are discussed. For those random processes for which the best predictor is not realizable using the above nonlinear filter, an iterative procedure is presented for finding a suboptimal nonlinear filter; special attention is directed to the case where the nonlinearity is a polynomial. Also, a noniterative approach based on nonlinear regression is presented.