DocumentCode :
983175
Title :
The impact of instability in latin and South America
Author :
Ellis, R. Evan
Author_Institution :
Booz, Allen, & Hamilton, McLean, VA, USA
Volume :
23
Issue :
1
fYear :
2004
Firstpage :
187
Lastpage :
193
Abstract :
This article uses a system dynamics methodology to examine the geopolitical significance of narcoterrorism dynamics currently observed in Colombia and the Andean Ridge region. Through influence diagrams, it presents a systemic analysis of the phenomenon. It argues that the interaction between drug production, insurgency is a system characterized by dynamic instability. Moreover, it suggests that the extensive quantity of positive feedback relations in this system could allow the current violence and social chaos could spread across the region and overwhelm the capability of governments to respond, more rapidly than a traditional analysis of narcoterrorism and other regional phenomenon suggests.
Keywords :
biohazards; terrorism; Andean Ridge region; Latin America; South America; bioterrorism; drug production; dynamic instability; dynamics methodology; geopolitical significance; insurgency; narcoterrorism; narcoterrorism dynamics; positive feedback relations; social chaos; system dynamics methodology; Arm; Chaos; Drugs; Feedback; Government; Production systems; Protection; South America; Terrorism; Weapons; Latin America; Models, Theoretical; Political Systems; Security Measures; Social Environment; Social Problems; South America; Terrorism;
fLanguage :
English
Journal_Title :
Engineering in Medicine and Biology Magazine, IEEE
Publisher :
ieee
ISSN :
0739-5175
Type :
jour
DOI :
10.1109/MEMB.2004.1297191
Filename :
1297191
Link To Document :
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