Title :
Trade off methods in system planning
Author :
Burke, William J. ; Merrill, Hyde M. ; Schweppe, Fred C. ; Lovell, Bryne E. ; McCoy, Michael F. ; Monohon, Sharron A.
Author_Institution :
Power Technol. Inc., Schenectady, NY, USA
Abstract :
Theoretical advances in multiobjective planning with uncertainty are described. The trade off/risk method is described and a case study is presented in which trade off/risk contributed to the analysis of resource planning options. This approach to decision making allows the identification of robust plans which may not be optimal but represent a reasonable compromise. Uncertainty can be modeled probabilistically or as unknown but bounded variables without a probability structure. The methodology is applied in a resource planning test case for Bonneville Power Administration (BPA). It is concluded that this method can be used in a host of system planning applications as an extension of the models and tools currently used.<>
Keywords :
power system planning; Bonneville Power Administration; multiobjective planning; system planning; uncertainty modelling; Decision making; Fuels; Power system interconnection; Power system modeling; Power system planning; Process planning; Risk analysis; Robustness; Technology planning; Uncertainty;
Journal_Title :
Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on