شناسايي عوامل موثر در ايجاد پياده راه با استفاده از مدل تحليل مسير (مطالعه موردي: شهر سرعين)

Identifying effective factors in building pedestrians using path analysis method ، Case Study: the city of Sareyn

امروزه حركت پياده به حلقه گمشده زندگي شهرنشيني تبديل شده، از اين­ رو نياز به بازنگري در شكل و ساختار خيابان­هاي امروزي، ضرورتي است كه ذهن متخصصان شهري و مخاطبان را به خود مشغول كرده است. در اين راستا شهر سرعين هم از اين امر مستثني نيست و با توجه فصلي بودن گردشگري آن و به تبع ترافيك و ازدحام در اين ايام، ايجاد پياده ­راه مي­تواند زمينه ­ساز مناسبي براي احيا و توسعه شهر باشد. اين پژوهش برآن است تا عوامل مؤثر در ايجاد پياده ­راه در سرعين را معرفي نمايد تا زمينه ­اي براي ايجاد مطلوب پياده ­راه در جهت توسعه گردشگري سرعين و جلب رضايت شهروندان و گردشگران باشد. در اين راستا تحقيق حاضر از نظر هدف كاربردي و از نظر ماهيت و روش، توصيفي_تحليلي است. براي جمع‌آوري داده‌ها از دو روش‌ اسنادي و ميداني بهره گرفته ‌شده است. جامعه آماري تحقيق كارشناسان شهر سرعين و كاسبان خيابان وليعصر هستند كه به شيوه هدفمند و تمام شماري از آنها در قالب پرسشنامه داده جمع­ آوري شده و براي تحليل آنها از مدل تحليل مسير در نرم­افزار SPSS استفاده شده است. نتايج تحليل رگرسيون چندگانه نشان داد كه تحليل اثرات در شش مرحله اتفاق مي­افتد كه براي اثرات مستقيم 64 درصد واريانس تمايل به ايجاد پياده­راه را معيارهاي هشت­گانه تحقيق تبيين مي­كنند كه از اين بين اثرگذاري پنج معيار معني­داري است و معيار خدمات و امكانات شهري با ضريب 392/0 بيشترين تأثير مستقيم را دارد. در اثرات غيرمستقيم هم كه در پنج مرحله ديگر انجام گرفته، معيار عوامل جغرافيايي با ضريب بتاي برابر با 248/0 بيشترين اثر غيرمستقيم را بر ايجاد پياده ­راه داشته است. درنهايت اين كه مهمترين معيار تأثيرگذار بر ايجاد پياده ­راه در سرعين، مربوط به معيار معابر­ و است كه 453/0 درصد در ايجاد پياده ­راه در سرعين تأثيرگذار است. نتايج تحقيق نشان مي­دهد كه معيارهاي معابر و حمل ­و­نقل، امنيت، كاركردهاي اقتصادي و خدمات و امكانات شهري تأثير بيشتري در ايجاد پياده­راه در سرعين دارند و بايد در اولويت ارتقا باشند؛ با اين حال نبايد از ساير معيارها غافل ماند.

Objectives Today, walking is one of the missing links in urban life. Thus, it is required to review the form and structure of today’s streets, which is a great concern for the urban experts and citizens. Therefore, it is crucial to consider urban pedestrians and find solutions to promote urban environmental quality of life and to promote citizens’ satisfaction with the environment. The city of Sareyn is not an exception. Given the climatic conditions of Sareyn and its high traffic, it cannot attract tourists and residents. These circumstances may pose an obstacle to the development of Sareyn in terms of tourism. Thus, constructing pedestrian walkways could facilitate the revitalization and development process of the city. As a result, this research aims to introduce significant factors in constructing pedestrian walkways in Sareyn, which will be a suitable background to guide the development process of the city. Findings This paper applies the path analysis method to determine the factors affecting the construction of pedestrian walkways in Sareyn. The results of regression analysis method for direct effects indicate that about 64% variance in pedestrian walkways is likely to be explained by research indicators. Variables of walkways and transportation, security, economic functions and urban services and facilities are more significant than other variables in predicting the dependent variable. The second and later stages of the path analysis method measures indirect effects. The results of these stages show that the effect of urban services and amenities on the construction of a pedestrian walkway is 46.3%, it is 11.4% for the transportation criterion, 11% for economic performance, 3% for the socio-cultural criterion and 18.1% for the security factor. Sum of the direct and indirect effects of the independent variables on constructing pedestrian walkways shows that the most effective factor in Sareyn city is related to “Walkways and Transportation” factors. Walkways and transportation affect the dependent variable directly by 0.362% and indirectly by 0.091%. Other effective factors in order of importance are security, urban services and facilities, economic, socio-cultural and geographic functions. Results Path analysis method was used to determine the effective factors on making pedestrian walkways in Sareyn, as a pole of tourism in Iran. Due to the multiplicity of factors, multiple regression test was performed. The direct effects were analyzed in the first step and then the indirect effects were calculated. In the first step, it was observed that research factors explained pedestrian walkway construction by 64%. The most significant factors in this stage were urban services and facilities, transportation, security, socio-cultural and economic functions. The most significant indirect factors were determined to be geographic factors with an indirect path and security with two indirect paths. There were 5 direct and 8 indirect paths in this research. Finally, the most important factors were walkways and transportation, followed by security, urban services and facilities, economic, socio-cultural, and geographic factors. The results show that the improvement of the above factors would make good conditions for constructing pedestrian walkways. Furthermore, the improvement of these factors would have a positive effect on the number of pedestrians using walkways. Finally, improvement of other factors would also have such effects.