پديد آورندگان :
پنجه كوبي، پرويز دانشگاه اصفهان - دانشكده علوم جغرافيايي و برنامه‌ريزي - گروه جغرافياي طبيعي، اصفهان، ايران , مسعوديان، ابوالفضل دانشگاه اصفهان - دانشكده علوم جغرافيايي و برنامه‌ريزي - گروه جغرافياي طبيعي، اصفهان، ايران , قانقرمه، عبدالعظيم دانشگاه گلستان - دانشكده علوم انساني - گروه جغرافيا ، گرگان، ايران
كليدواژه :
رادار , خزر شرقي , واسنجي , برآورد بارش
چكيده فارسي :
رادار هواشناسي در برآورد مقدار بارش بر روي گستره هاي پهناور كاربرد زيادي دارد. پيوند ميان بارش و بازگشت پذيري رادار پيوندي نمايي است . a و b فراسنج هاي مدل هستند و چنانچه درست انتخاب نشوند، بارش برآوردي رادار با اشتباه همراه مي شود. اندازه و توزيع چكه هاي بارش اثر زيادي بر فراسنج هاي اين مدل دارد. دامنه وردش اين فراسنج ها بسيار زياد است. دراين پژوهش بارش هاي 28 تا 29 تير و 10 تا 11 شهريور سال 1394 ايستگاه هاي آمل، بابلسر، ساري، دشت ناز، بندر گز، گميشان و گرگان كه در محدوده 30 تا 100 كيلومتري رادار اميرآباد بهشهر (رادار خزر شرقي) جا گرفته اند بررسي شد. در بارش اول براي هرايستگاه، زاويه ارتفاع بهينه پرتو انتخاب و فراسنج ها واسنجي و رابطه مربوط به آن نقطه به دست آمد. با استفاده از اين رابطه مقدار بارش برآوردي رادار از 22 درصد به 97 درصد افزايش يافت و ميانگين مجموع بارش برآوردي رادار از 8/9 به 4/43 ميلي متر رسيد كه از ميانگين واقعي فقط 1 ميلي متر كمتر است. در بارش دوم، با استفاده از داده هاي بارش تمام ايستگاه ها، فقط يك معادله به دست آمد و رادار واسنجي شد. نتايج برآورد بارش رادار به اين روش نيز با تقريب خوبي مورد قبول بود و ميانگين مجموع بارش برآوردي رادار از 6/8 به 5/28 ميلي متر افزايش يافت كه 3 ميلي متر از مقدار واقعي كمتر بود.
چكيده لاتين :
Meteorological radar is usually used to estimate rainfall. The relationship between rainfall and the reflectivity of the radar is exponential. Measurement of the intensity and amount of precipitation in the management of water resources, agriculture, and flood alert is widely used. Radar and rain gauges can better estimate the amount and spatial distribution of rainfall. Marshall et al. (1947) proposed based on the relationship between the reflectivity coefficient Z and the precipitation intensity R. Here, a and b are coefficients of the model and may differ in different places and seasons. The factors affecting these variables are: 1- type of rainfall, 2- Season; 3-Geographic and Topographic Surface of the Region. The size of precipitation drops and their distribution varies in different rainfalls. The sources of error in the radar are (1) the difference in radar reflection height, that is related to the height of the ground, while the rain-gauge measures rainfall on the earth's surface. 2) Radar calibration error. 3) Echoes of recurrences from obstacles near the ground. 4) Radar beam attenuation 5) Unrealized echoes of solid phenomena such as hail, snow, melting region. Estimates are more credible near radar. The best way to collect rainbow data is to use both radar and rain gauge simultaneously.
Data used in this study include two series of ground station data and radar data. The rain gauge was used between 30 and 100 kilometers from Amirabad radar. The rainfall in July and September 2015 were selected. The severity of the two selected rainfall was appropriate, and their rainfall was remarkable. In this research, radar beam angles were measured at 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5 and 0.6 degrees as well as radar beam at constant altitudes of 200, 500 and 1000 meters from ground level. At the specified times, the radar reflection value was matched to the amount of precipitation obtained from the rainfalls during the same time interval.
In the coordinate system on the vertical axis, the values of log Z (logarithm of reflectivity) were plotted on the horizontal axis and log R (rainfall rainfall intensity logarithm) and correlation between the logarithm of reflection and the logarithm of precipitation were obtained by regression method by which linear equation is extracted where the slope of this line is equal to b and the width of its origin is log a.
For all the studied stations and for both selected precipitation and all selected angles, the values of the new radar parameter were obtained separately and the new values of radar precipitation were estimated with the help of new parameters and the relation .
Using the obtained coefficients, the intensity and total radar rainfall were estimated. The results were different for each station. Regarding estimated radar rainfall values and station distance from the radar, for each station, the optimal beam angle was chosen to have the best estimate of precipitation. In Gorgan, Sari, and Dash-e-Naz ratio of precipitation estimated by radar to rain gauge measurement is about 90 percent. Meanwhile in Babolsar and Banda-e-Gaz the ratio is only 2 percent. Estimated rainfall was 12 percent higher at Gomishan station. At Amol station, it was 25% less than the rain, measured.
