تحليل رفاه اقتصادي با تاكيد بر ابعاد جهاني ‌شدن

Economic Welfare Analysis with an Emphasis on Aspects of Globalization

هدف اين مقاله بررسي اثر ابعاد اقتصادي، اجتماعي و سياسي جهاني‌شدن بر رفاه اقتصادي براي 50 كشور منتخب در سه طبقه­ درآمدي طي دوره­ زماني 2005 - 2015 مي­باشد. براي اين منظور، رفاه اقتصادي با استفاده از شاخص تركيبي جهاني ­شدن ( (IEWBمحاسبه شده است. نتايج برآورد الگو در چهار قالب با روش داده­ هاي تابلويي نشان داد در كشورهاي با درآمد بالا بعد اقتصادي و اجتماعي جهاني­شدن بر رفاه اقتصادي اثر مثبت داشته و بعد سياسي اثر معناداري ندارد. اين در حالي است كه در كشورهاي با درآمد متوسط، تنها بعد اقتصادي جهاني­شدن بر رفاه اقتصادي اثرگذار (مثبت) است. همچنين در كشورهاي با درآمد پايين، رفاه اقتصادي به طور معكوس از جهاني‌شدن اقتصادي و اجتماعي اثر مي­پذيرد و جهاني ­شدن سياسي بر رفاه، اثر معناداري ندارد. درآمد سرانه با اثر مثبت همراه است و تورم اثر معناداري بر رفاه اقتصادي ندارد. بر اساس نتايج، افزايش روابط اقتصادي در كشورهاي با درآمد بالا و متوسط پيشنهاد مي­شود.

The purpose of this article is to investigate the effect of economic, social and political aspects of globalization on economic welfare in 50 selected countries from three income groups in the time between 2005 and 2015. For this purpose, economic welfare was been calculated using the Index of Economic Well-Being (IEWB). The results in four frame with panel data method indicated that in high-income countries, economic and social aspect of globalization had significant positive effect on economic welfare while political globalization had no statistically significant effect. While, in the middle-income countries only economic aspect of globalization has significant positive effect on economic welfare. In low-income countries also, economic welfare is affect inversely from economic and political globalization and political globalization has not significant effect on welfare. In general, one can say that non-political aspects of globalization were been affected on economic welfare in the selected countries. Income per capita had a significant positive effect on economic welfare, but inflation had no significant effect on economic welfare. Based on the results an increase in the economic relations is recommend in high and middle-income countries.