پديد آورندگان :
خرمشاد، محمدباقر دانشگاه علامه طباطبايي , آقامحمدي، مسعود دانشگاه عالي دفاع ملي , بابايي، سعيد دانشگاه عالي دفاع ملي
كليدواژه :
ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ , ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﻫﺎي ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺘﯽ , ﻗﺪرت , اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ
چكيده فارسي :
ﻋﻠﯽرﻏﻢ اﯾﻨﮑﻪ راﺑﻄﻪ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ و اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ ﯾﮏ راﺑﻄﻪ دوﺳﻮﯾﻪ و ﻣﺘﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﻣﯽﺑﺎﺷﺪ؛ اﻣـﺎ ﺗﻐ ﯿﯿـ ﺮات ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺘـ ﯽ ﻧﻘـﺶ ﺑﺴﯿﺎر ﻣﺆﺛﺮﺗﺮي در ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ دارد. ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮات ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺘﯽ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮﮔـﺬاري ﺑـﺮ ﻣﺴـﺎﺋﻞ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕـ ﯽ، اﺟﺘﻤـﺎﻋ ﯽ، ﺳﯿﺎﺳـ ﯽ و اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎ، ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﺗﻌﯿﯿﻦﮐﻨﻨﺪهاي ﺑﺮ اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ دارد. ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ از ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﮐﻤﯽ و ﮐﯿﻔﯽ در ﮐﻠﯿﻪ ﻣﺆﻟﻔﻪﻫـﺎي اﻣ ﻨﯿـ ﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ ﺟﻮاﻣﻊ ﻣﺆﺛﺮ اﺳﺖ. اﻟﮕﻮي ﺗﺮاﮐﻢ و ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ ﺟﻐﺮاﻓﯿﺎﯾﯽ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ، ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺐ ﺳﻨﯽ و ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺘﯽ، ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﻗﻮﻣﯿﺘﯽ و ﻣﺬﻫﺒﯽ در ﺷﻬﺮﻫﺎي ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ، ﻣﺮزﻧﺸﯿﻨﯽ و ﻣﺮﮐﺰ ﻧﺸﯿﻨﯽ، ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮتﻫﺎي داﺧﻠﯽ و ﺧﺎرﺟﯽ، ازﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﻣﻘﻮﻻﺗﯽ اﺳـﺖ ﮐـﻪ ﻣﻔﺎﻫﯿﻢ راﻫﺒﺮدي ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ و اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ را ﺑﻪ ﯾﮑﺪﯾﮕﺮ ﮔﺮه زده اﺳﺖ. ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ از ﻧﻮع ﮐﺎرﺑﺮدي-ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪاي ﺑﻮده و ﺑﺎ روش ﺗﻮﺻﯿﻔﯽ- ﭘﯿﻤﺎﯾﺸﯽ اﻧﺠﺎم ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎري ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻣﺘﺸﮑﻞ از 30 ﻧﻔﺮ از ﺧﺒﺮﮔـﺎن ﺣـﻮزه اﻣﻨﯿـ ﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ و ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ ﺑﻪﺻﻮرت ﻫﺪﻓﻤﻨﺪ اﻧﺘﺨﺎب ﺷﺪهاﻧﺪ. ﻫﻤﭽﻨﯿﻦ دادهﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از ﭘﺮﺳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﻣﺤﻘﻖﺳـﺎﺧﺘﻪ، ﭘﺎ ﯾـ ﺎﯾﯽ ﺑـﺎ روش آﻟﻔﺎي ﮐﺮوﻧﺒﺎخ 99 درﺻـﺪ ﻣـﻮرد ﺗﺄﯾﯿـﺪ ﻗـﺮار ﮔﺮﻓـﺖ . اﻃﻼﻋـﺎت ﺣﺎﺻـﻞ از ﻃﺮ ﯾـ ﻖ ﻧـﺮم اﻓـﺰار SPSS ﻣـﻮرد ﺗﺠﺰﯾﻪوﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﻗﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ آﻧﮑﻪ در اﯾﻦ ﭘـﮋو ﻫﺶ ﺑـﺎ دو دﺳـﺘﻪ از دادهﻫـﺎ ي ﭘـﺎراﻣﺘﺮ ي و ﻧﺎﭘـﺎراﻣﺘﺮ ي ﻣﻮاﺟﻪ ﺑﻮدﯾﻢ، ﺟﻬﺖ دﺳﺘﯿﺎﺑﯽ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﻣﻄﻠﻮب ﺑﺮاي دادهﻫﺎي ﭘﺎراﻣﺘﺮي از روش ﻣﯿﺎﻧﮕﯿﻦ و ﺑﺮاي دادهﻫﺎي ﻧﺎﭘـﺎراﻣﺘﺮ ي از آزﻣﻮن Friedman اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. در اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ در ﺣﻮزه ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮﻫﺎي ﮐﻤﯽ: رﺷﺪ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ، ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺐ دﯾﻨـ ﯽ و ﻣﺬﻫﺒﯽ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ و ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺐ ﻗﻮﻣﯽ و زﺑﺎﻧﯽ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ، ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﺗﯿﺐ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮﯾﻦ اﻣﺘﯿﺎز و در ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮﻫﺎي ﮐﯿﻔﯽ: ﺗﻐﯿﯿـ ﺮات ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺘـ ﯽ در ﺣﻮزه ﻧﺨﺒﮕﺎن، ﺑﺼﯿﺮت و ارزشﻫﺎي ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﯽ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ، ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﺗﯿـ ﺐ ﺑﯿﺸـﺘﺮ ﯾﻦ ﺗـﺄﺛﯿﺮ را ﺑـﺮ اﻣ ﻨﯿـ ﺖ ﻣﻠـ ﯽ ﺟﻤﻬـﻮر ي اﺳﻼﻣﯽ اﯾﺮان داﺷﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ.
چكيده لاتين :
Despite the relationship between population and national security, changes in population are far more effective than the very population in the national security. Population changes, affecting culture, society, politics and economy, pose a dramatic impact on the national security, and they affect all components of the former in respect of quantity and quality. The model for density, geographic distribution, age composition and structure, ethnic and religious relation in different cities, border inhabitance and center inhabitance, immigrations and emigrations are of the issues which interconnect the strategic concepts of population and national security. In the same vein, the present study is an applied-developmental research which has been conducted upon survey-description. The population of the study is composed of 30 experts on the national security which is objectively selected; the data is gathered with a researcher-fabricated questionnaire and the validity is confirmed (%99) through Cronbach’s Alpha, and the data is analysed with SPSS. As we dealt with two types of data, parametric and non- parametric, to achieve desirable results for the parametric ones, we used the average method and for the non- parametric ones, we exploited Friedman Test. In this study, the quantitative variables of population including growth, religion, ethnicity and language possess the highest score and the qualitative ones; i.e. experts, sightedness and the cultural values reflect the strongest impact on the IRI’s national security in respect
