تحليلي بر رابطه عرضه محصولات كشاورزي با سياست هاي بازرگاني ، ارزي و برآورد توابع عرضه ، تقاضا و واردات منتخبي از محصولات كشاورزي

The Relationship Between the Supply of Selected Agricultural Products and Trade , Foreign Exchange and Marketing Policies

The need to secure food stuff for the increasing population of the country on the one hand, and attaining to self-reliance in production of strategic products on the other hand, have led the authorities in Islamic Republic of Iran to, while re-evaluating the existing measures for securing and supplying food stuff, identify and determine the factors which affect the imports and production of such items. This new initiative would facilitate planning for the enhancement of the efficiency of measures for securing food stuff and its supply to the market. In this paper attempts have been made to determine the impacts of different policies on agriculture sector in general and the factors which affect the supply and imports of agricultural products in particular. The results of the paper demonstrate that the policies adopted for the domestic production and import of those items, have been faced and associated with distortions and instabilities. Furthermore these policies, contrary to what has been initially intended , have proved to be ineffective in protecting the sector. In this respect it has to be noted that several policies, such as , pricing, tariff and non-tariff barriers, foreign exchange and trade policies, in effect, have produced adverse effects on producers of such products. In fact these policies have not only failed to produce protectionary results, but on the contrary, have acted as implicit tax on the sector. These results are therefore indicative of the fact that the infrastructure of the sector is confronted with serious shortcomings. The recommendation of the paper is to the effect that, if the policy decisions are meant to secure more food stuff, through enhancing domestic production , and protection of the economy against fluctuations in world agriculture market, the effective, serious , prudent and meaningful protection measures should be adopted and implemented.