پديد آورندگان :
صادقي, محمد فاقد وابستگي , كاظمي, محمد فاقد وابستگي
كليدواژه :
ﻣﯿﺰان ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ , ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ , ﻗﺎﭼﺎق ﺳﻮﺧﺖ , وزن ﻣﻌﯿﺎرﻫﺎ , ﺑﻨﺪرﻋﺒﺎس
چكيده فارسي :
ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ي اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﯾﮑﯽ از ﻣﻬﻢ ﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ ﻫﺎي ﮐﻨﻮﻧﯽ ﺟﻮاﻣﻊ درﺣﺎل ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺳﺖ؛ زﯾﺮا از ﺳﻮﯾﯽ ﺑﯿﺎﻧﮕﺮ ﺳﻄﺢ اﻧﺴﺠﺎم و ﺛﺒﺎت اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ آن ﻫﺎ و از ﺳﻮﯾﯽ دﯾﮕﺮ ﺑﺎزﮔﻮي ﻇﺮﻓﯿﺖ ﻫﺎي اﻧﺴﺎﻧﯽ و اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﻣﻮﺟﻮد در اﯾﻦ ﺟﻮاﻣﻊ اﺳﺖ. در اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﻫﺎي ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ از ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﮔﺮدآوري ﮔﺮدﯾﺪ و ﻣﻮردﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﻗﺮارﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ. روش ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ در اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮرت ﺗﻮﺻﯿﻔﯽ-ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻠﯽ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از روش ﭘﯿﻤﺎﯾﺸﯽ ﺑﺮﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ از داده ﻫﺎﯾﯽ ﮐﻪ از ﻃﺮﯾﻖ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﻧﺎﻣﻪ، ﻣﺼﺎﺣﺒﻪ ي ﺣﻀﻮري، ﺑﺎزدﯾﺪ ﻣﮑﺎﻧﯽ و از ﻃﺮﯾﻖ ﻣﺸﻮرت ﺑﺎ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎن ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮرت ﻧﻈﺎم ﻣﻨﺪ ﮔﺮدآوري و ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از spss و ANP ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﻫﺎي ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫﺪ ﮐﻪ ﻣﻘﺪار ﺳﻄﺢ ﻣﻌﻨﺎداري ﺑﯿﻦ ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮﻫﺎي ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ و ﻗﺎﭼﺎق ﺳﻮﺧﺖ 0/04 اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ از ﺳﻄﺢ ﺧﻄﺎ 0،05 ﮐﻤﺘﺮ اﺳﺖ و ﻣﻘﺪار r ﻧﯿﺰ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ اﺳﺖ. درﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻄﺢ اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن 95% ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮان ﮔﻔﺖ، ﺑﯿﻦ ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ و واﺑﺴﺘﻪ راﺑﻄﻪ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﯿﻢ و ﻣﻌﻨﺎداري وﺟﻮد دارد. ﻫﻤﭽﻨﯿﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ رﮔﺮﺳﯿﻮن ﺧﻄﯽ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫﺪ؛ ﻣﻘﺪار R ﺑﺮاﺑﺮ اﺳﺖ ﺑﺎ 0/90 و ﻣﻘﺪار R2 ﺑﺮاﺑﺮ اﺳﺖ ﺑﺎ 0/890 ﮐﻪ ﺑﯿﺎن ﮔﯿﺮ اﯾﻦ اﺳﺖ ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮاﻧﺪ 0/890 درﺻﺪ از ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮات ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ ﻗﺎﭼﺎق ﺳﻮﺧﺖ را ﺗﺒﯿﯿﻦ ﮐﻨﺪ. درﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ اﯾﻨﮑﻪ ﺿﺮﯾﺐ ﺗﻌﯿﻦ R2 ﺑﺮاﺑﺮ 0/890 اﺳﺖ ﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﻣﯽ ﮔﯿﺮﯾﻢ راﺑﻄﻪ ي ﺧﻄﯽ ﻗﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ )ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ( و ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ واﺑﺴﺘﻪ )ﻗﺎﭼﺎق ﺳﻮﺧﺖ( وﺟﻮد دارد. در ﮔﺎم آﺧﺮ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺷﺒﮑﻪ ANP ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫﺪ ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﺧﺪﻣﺎت اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﺑﺎ وزن ﺣﺪ دار 0/177 در رﺗﺒﻪ اول ﻗﺮار دارد و از ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮﯾﻦ اوﻟﻮﯾﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻮردار اﺳﺖ. در ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﺷﻬﺮ ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮان ﺑﻪ اﺑﻌﺎدي ﭼﻮن: ﻣﺸﺎرﮐﺖ ﺷﻬﺮوﻧﺪي، ﺑﺮﻗﺮاري ﻋﺪاﻟﺖ اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ، اﯾﺠﺎد اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻓﺮدي، اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﺳﻄﺢ آﻣﻮزش و ﺑﺴﺘﺮﺳﺎزي ﺑﺮاي اﺷﺘﻐﺎل ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻧﻤﻮد. ﻣﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ي اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﻧﯿﺎزﻣﻨﺪ ﺑﺴﺘﺮﺳﺎزي ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﯽ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ اﯾﻦ اﻣﺮ در ﺳﺎﯾﻪ ﺣﻤﺎﯾﺖ ﻧﻬﺎدﻫﺎﯾﯽ ﻫﻤﭽﻮن آﻣﻮزش وﭘﺮورش، ﻧﯿﺮوي اﻧﺘﻈﺎﻣﯽ و ﺳﺎﯾﺮ ارﮔﺎن ﻫﺎ ﻣﺤﻘﻖ ﺧﻮاﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ.
چكيده لاتين :
Social development is one of the most important challenges facing evolving societies because it reflects their level of social cohesion and stability, and on the other hand, reflects the human and social capacity available in these societies. In this study, different indicators of social development were collected from different sources and analyzed. The research method used in this study is descriptive-analytical. The survey method is based on data collected through questionnaires, face-to-face interviews, site visits and systematically consulted with experts and analyzed using SPSS and ANP. The value of the significant level between the variables of social development and fuel trafficking is 0.04, which is less than the 0.05 level of error and the value of r is positive. Consequently, with 95% confidence level, it can be said that there is a direct and significant relationship between independent and dependent variables. The results of linear regression analysis also show that R value is 0.90 and R2 value is 0.890 which indicates that social development variable can explain 0.890% of changes in fuel trafficking variable. Therefore, given that the coefficient of determination of R2 is 0.890, we conclude that there is a strong linear relationship between the independent variable (social development) and the dependent variable (fuel trafficking). In the final step of the ANP analysis, the Social Services Index, with a weight of 0.177, ranks first and has the highest priority. In the social development of the city, the following aspects can be considered: citizen participation, social justice, personal security, increased education and employment opportunities. Social development discourses require a cultural context that will be achieved through the support of institutions such as education, law enforcement and other bodies.
