ﮐﺎرﺑﺮد ﻫﻢ زﻣﺎن ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶﻫﺎي دوﮔﺎﻧﻪي دوﺣﺪي و ﯾﮏوﻧﯿﻢ ﺣﺪي در ارزش ﮔﺬاري ﭘﺎرك ﺟﻨﮕﻠﯽ ﺳﯽﺳﻨﮕﺎن

Simultaneous Usage of Double-Bounded and One and One-Half Bounded Dichotomous Choices in the Valuation of Sisangan Forest Park

زﻣﯿﻨﻪ و ﻫﺪف: ارزﺷﮕﺬاري ﮐﺎﻻﻫﺎي ﻋﻤﻮﻣﯽ در دﻫﻪ ي اﺧﯿﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮرت ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﻪ اي ﻣﻮرد ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻗﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ. اﻣﺮوزه ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎﯾﯽ ﮐﻪ ﺑﯿﺶ ﺗﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ي اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي ﺧﻮد ﻣﯽ اﻧﺪﯾﺸﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﮔﺮدﺷﮕﺮي ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮان ﯾﮏ ﺿﺮورت ﻣﯽ ﻧﮕﺮﻧﺪ و از آﻧﺠﺎ ﮐﻪ ﻃﺒﯿﻌﺖ ﮔﺮدي ﯾﺎ اﮐﻮﺗﻮرﯾﺴﻢ از ﺷﺎﺧﻪ ﻫﺎي ﻣﻬﻢ ﮔﺮدﺷﮕﺮي اﺳﺖ از اﯾﻦ روي ﺑﻪ آن ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺟﺪي ﻣﯽ ﻧﻤﺎﯾﻨﺪ. ﻫﺪف از اﯾﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ، ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﮐﺎرﺑﺮد ﻫﻢ زﻣﺎن دو ﻧﻮع ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ دوﮔﺎﻧﻪ ي دوﺣﺪي )DBDC( و ﯾﮏوﻧﯿﻢ ﺣﺪي )OOHB( در ﺗﻌﯿﯿﻦ ارزش ﺗﻔﺮﺟﯽ ﭘﺎرك ﺟﻨﮕﻠﯽ ﺳﯽﺳﻨﮕﺎن ﺑﻪ روش ارزش ﮔﺬاري ﻣﺸﺮوط در ﺳﺎل 1392 اﺳﺖ. روش ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ: ﺑﺮاي اﯾﻦ ﮐﺎر، ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ادﺑﯿﺎت ﻧﻈﺮي ﻫﺮ ﯾﮏ از ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶﻫﺎ، ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﻧﺎﻣﻪاي ﺑﺮاي ﻫﺮ ﯾﮏ از ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶﻫﺎ ﺗﻬﯿﻪ و اﻃﻼﻋﺎت ﻣﻮرد ﻧﯿﺎز ﮔﺮدآوري ﺷﺪ. ﺳﭙﺲ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از اﻟﮕﻮي ﻻﺟﯿﺖ و روش ﺣﺪاﮐﺜﺮ درﺳﺖ ﻧﻤﺎﯾﯽ، ﭘﺎراﻣﺘﺮﻫﺎي ﻣﺆﺛﺮ ﺑﺮ ارزش ﺗﻔﺮﺟﯽ ﭘﺎرك ﻣﻮرد ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﺗﻌﯿﯿﻦ و ارزش ﺗﻔﺮﺟﯽ ﺑﺮآورد ﺷﺪ. ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪﻫﺎ: ﺑﺮ اﺳﺎس ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪﻫﺎي ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ، ﺗﻌﺪاد دﻓﻌﺎت ﺑﺎزدﯾﺪ ﺳﺎﻟﯿﺎﻧﻪ، اﺧﻼق ﮔﺮا ﯾﺎ ﭘﯿﺎﻣﺪﮔﺮا ﺑﻮدن و درآﻣﺪ ﻣﺎﻫﯿﺎﻧﻪي ﺧﺎﻧﻮار ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﮔﻮ از ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮﻫﺎﯾﯽ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ در ﻫﺮ دو ﻧﻮع ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ، ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﻌﻨﯽداري ﺑﺮ ﭘﺬﯾﺮش ﻣﺒﻠﻎ ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدي ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎزدﯾﺪﮐﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎن ﺑﺮاي ﺗﻔﺮج در اﯾﻦ ﭘﺎرك اﺳﺖ. ﺗﻤﺎﯾﻞ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺮداﺧﺖ اﻧﺘﻈﺎري در ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ دوﮔﺎﻧﻪي دوﺣﺪي ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮر ﻧﺴﺒﯽ 12/2 درﺻﺪ ﺑﯿﺶ ﺗﺮ از ﻣﯿﺰان ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ آن در ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ ﯾﮏوﻧﯿﻢ ﺣﺪي اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺮ اﺳﺎس ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ، ارزش ﺗﻔﺮﺟﯽ ﭘﺎرك ﺟﻨﮕﻠﯽ ﺳﯽ ﺳﻨﮕﺎن ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ دوﮔﺎﻧﻪي دوﺣﺪي و ﯾﮏوﻧﯿﻢ ﺣﺪي ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﺗﯿﺐ 14949 و 11324 ﻣﯿﻠﯿﻮن رﯾﺎل در ﺳﺎل 1392 ﺑﺮآورد ﻣﯽ ﺷﻮد. ﺑﺤﺚ و ﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﮔﯿﺮي: ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﮐﻪ ﻧﻤﯽﺗﻮان ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ اﯾﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ را ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮان ﯾﮏ ﻗﺎﻧﻮن ﮐﻠﯽ ﺑﯿﺎن ﮐﺮد، اﻣﺎ ﻣﯽﺗﻮان ﮔﻔﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺑﺮ اﺳﺎس اﻃﻼﻋﺎت ﺟﻤﻊآوري ﺷﺪه ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶﻫﺎي DBDC و OOHB در ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪﻫﺎي ﻣﻮرد ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ، اﻟﮕﻮﯾﯽ ﮐﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ OOHB ﺑﺮآورد ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻟﺤﺎظ ﺷﺎﺧﺺﻫﺎي ﺧﻮﺑﯽ ﺑﺮازش ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺑﻮده و ارزش ﺗﻔﺮﺟﯽ ﭘﺎرك را ﺗﻌﺪﯾﻞﺷﺪهﺗﺮ از اﻟﮕﻮﯾﯽ ﺑﺮآورد ﮐﺮده ﮐﻪ از ﮔﺰﯾﻨﺶ DBDC استفاده شده است

Background and Objective: In the last decade, the valuation of public goods has been considerably taken into account. Today, countries which are more likely to consider their economic development consider the tourism industry as a necessity and since naturalism or ecotourism is one of the major tourist attractions, serious attention is paid to this. The purpose of this study is an investigation of simultaneous usage of Double-Bounded Dichotomous Choices (DBDC) and one and one-half bounded Dichotomous Choices (OOHB) in determining the recreational value of Sysangan Forest Park with contingent valuation method in 2014. Method: For this task, according to the theoretical literature of each choice, a questionnaire prepared for each choice, and necessary information gathered. Then with using Logit model and maximum likelihood method, effecting parameter on the recreation value of park estimated . Findings: According to the results; the annual number of visits, consequence or ethical oriented of visitors and monthly family income of visitors have the significant effect on willingness to pay of visitors for recreation in this park. Expected willingness to pay in DBDS choice is relatively 12.2 percentages more than the similar amount in the OOHB choice. According to the results, the recreational value estimated of Sisangan forest park, with using of DBDC and OOHB choices are respectively 14949 and 11324 million Rial in 2014. Discussion and Conclusion: Although the results of this study can not be described as a general rule, but it can be said that based on the information collected by DBDC and OOHB selections in the studied samples, the model estimated by OOHB selections to In terms of good indicators, the fit is better and the recreational value of the park is more adjusted than the model used by DBDC selection