تدوين الگوي توسعه توانايي هاي مديريتي مديران مدارس در افق 1404 مبتني بر رويكرد آينده نگاري

Develop a model for developing school principals' managerial abilities on the 1404 horizon based on a foresight approach

روش اين پژوهش از لحاظ هدف، كاربردي از نظر شيوه اجرا آميخته است. ابزار جمع آوري داده هاي پژوهش در بخش كيفي: مصاحبه و در بخش كمي: پرسشنامه اقتباس شده از مقوله هاي مصاحبه بوده است. جامعه آماري پژوهش در بخش كمي وكيفي شامل مديران مدارس مقطع متوسطه اول بود كه تعداد آنها 425 نفر كه در بخش كمي با مراجعه به فرمول كوكران از بين مديران مدارس تعداد 202 نفر به عنوان نمونه انتخاب شدند. روش نمونه گيري تصادفي طبقه اي بود. همچنين در بخش كيفي، تعداد 22 نفر از مديران بودند كه بر اساس روش نمونه گيري اشباع نظري انتخاب شدند. تحليل داده هاي پژوهش در بخش كمي بر اساس نرم افزار آماري SPSS صورت گرفت كه از اين نرم افزار در بخش تحليل سوال دوم پژوهش استفاده گرديد. بر اين اساس از روش آماري آزمون فرديدمن استفاده گرديد. تحليل داده هاي پژوهش در بخش كيفي بر اساس نرم افزار 3dmax صورت گرفت كه بر اين اساس براي تجزيه و تحليلي داده ها مستخرج شده از مصاحبه ها از روش تجزيه و تحليل داده هاي كيفي استفاده شد. نتايج پژوهش نشان داد، مولفه هاي توسعه توانايي هاي مديريتي شامل: مولفه هاي شايستگي اوليه، مولفه هاي شايستگي كلان، مولفه هاي وضعيت موجود در توسعه توانايي مديريتي و مولفه هاي تجهيز مديران به شايستگي هاي جديد بود. در نهايت الگويي براي توسعه توانايي هاي مديريتي مديران مدارس بر اساس رويكرد آينده نگاري ترسيم شد.

The purpose of this research is applied in terms of purpose in terms of quantitative-qualitative (mixed) implementation method. The research data collection tool in this study was in the qualitative section: interview and in the quantitative section: the questionnaire adapted from the categories obtained in the interview. The statistical population of the research in the quantitative section included all teachers of Kermanshah first secondary schools in the academic year 1399-1398, which was 425 people, and the statistical population of this study in the qualitative section included all principals of Kermanshah first secondary schools in the academic year 1399- In 1398, there were 31 of them, and in the quantitative section, 202 people were selected as examples by referring to the Cochran's formula among school principals. The sampling method was stratified random. Also, the sample of this study in the qualitative section was 2 managers who were selected based on the method of theoretical saturation sampling (specific to qualitative studies). The analysis of research data in the quantitative section was based on SPSS statistical software, which was used in the analysis section of the second research question. Based on this, the statistical method of Fardidman test was used. Quantitative data analysis was based on 3dmax software, which used qualitative data analysis (qualitative content analysis and coding process) to analyze the data extracted from the interviews. The research results showed that the components of managerial development skills in Horizon 1404 based on foresight approach include 4 general dimensions: primary competency components, macro competence components, components of the current situation in managerial ability development and components of equipping managers with new competencies. Was. The results also showed that the prioritization of these factors is 1-components of macro competence in the development of managerial ability, 2-components of the current situation in the development of managerial ability 3-components of equipping managers with new competencies and 4- components of initial competence in Development was the ability of managers. Finally, a model for developing the managerial abilities of school principals was drawn based on the foresight approach.