پديد آورندگان :
سليماني ساردو، فرشاد دانشگاه جيرفت، جيرفت، ايران , حسين حمزه، نسيم دانشگاه فردوسي، مشهد، ايران , كرمي، سارا پژوهشكده هواشناسي و علوم جو، تهران، ايران , ناطقي، سعيده موسسه تحقيقات جنگل و مراتع كشور، تهران، ايران , هاشمي نژاد، محمد دانشگاه جيرفت، جيرفت، ايران
چكيده لاتين :
Expanded abstract:
Introduction: Dust storms caused by erodible surface sources, such as deserts, have been one of the major natural disasters in recent years, affecting countries in the Middle East, including Iran. One of the major factors to formation the dust storms is the strong wind flow that can be created in the presence of low pressure systems in the potential. Therefore, the study and identification the atmospheric patterns can be effective in predicting these storms. One way to study dust storms is to use numerical models that can be used even for times when appropriate data is not available and also to predict these types of storms.
Material and Method:
After statistical study of the phenomenon of "dust" and the factors affecting it in the Jazmourian basin, a severe and widespread event of "dust" in the Jazmourian basin is investigated. Then, to investigate the prevailing atmospheric currents in the region, the HYSPLIT model is implemented as a matrix and in a leading way. In the implementation of HYSPLIT model, GDAS meteorological data with horizontal separation of 0.5 degrees have been used. Using the output of this model, it is possible to study how dust particles are transferred from this area. Finally, each of the studied dust phenomena is simulated using the WRF-Chem model to determine how the dust is emitted and transmitted in the region.
Result:
Leading HYSPLIT model output for November 28, 2016 UTC12 clock which was executed as a matrix with GDAS data with 0.5 degree horizontal separation for 36 hours at a height of 100 meters. The results showed that the particles from this region were affected by northwestern currents and were transferred to Sistan-Baluchestan province and the border between Iran and Pakistan. Aerosols optical depth of the output particles of the WRF-Chem model at UTC12 on November 24, 2016. Values higher than 0.5 indicate a high amount of suspended particles in the atmosphere in the study area. At this time, the highest light depth of particles is in the Strait of Hormuz and Qeshm Island, but the concentration of particles in a large part of Jazmourian region is between 0.4 to 0.6, which can indicate the presence of dust particles in the atmosphere. The results also show that the concentration of "dust" on the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf is higher than 5000 micrograms per cubic meter. Also, the concentration of "dust" in Jazmorian region is high and is higher than 1500 micrograms per cubic meter. Also in some areas, the concentration of "dust" is more than 5000 micrograms per cubic meter.
Discussion and conclusion:
In the present study, using the outputs of the WRF_Chem model, the dust phenomenon and its characteristics in the southeastern region of Iran have been identified. According to the results, the WRF_Chem model provides a reasonable estimate of the weather in the study area in terms of scale and time changes. By producing dust particle concentration distribution maps, areas of the simulation basin that have the maximum particle concentration were identified as the main sources of particle emission. In general, the performance of the WRF / Chem numerical model in this study confirms the applicability of this model in modeling and forecasting air quality, especially for air vents produced from natural emission sources such as erodible areas of deserts. The results showed that the studied dust phenomenon (November 24-27, 2016) dust particles from Jazmourian basin, were affected by northwestern currents and were transferred to Sistan and Baluchestan province and the border between Iran and Pakistan.
Keywords: simulation, Dust storm, WRF/Chem model, MODIS
Discussion and conclusion:
In the present study, using the outputs of the WRF_Chem model, the dust phenomenon and its characteristics in the southeastern region of Iran have been identified. According to the results, the WRF_Chem model provides a reasonable estimate of the weather in the study area in terms of scale and time changes. By producing dust particle concentration distribution maps, areas of the simulation basin that have the maximum particle concentration were identified as the main sources of particle emission. In general, the performance of the WRF / Chem numerical model in this study confirms the applicability of this model in modeling and forecasting air quality, especially for air vents produced from natural emission sources such as erodible areas of deserts. The results showed that the studied dust phenomenon (November 24-27, 2016) dust particles from Jazmourian basin, were affected by northwestern currents and were transferred to Sistan and Baluchestan province and the border between Iran and Pakistan.
Keywords: simulation, Dust storm, WRF/Chem model, MODIS
Discussion and conclusion:
In the present study, using the outputs of the WRF_Chem model, the dust phenomenon and its characteristics in the southeastern region of Iran have been identified. According to the results, the WRF_Chem model provides a reasonable estimate of the weather in the study area in terms of scale and time changes. By producing dust particle concentration distribution maps, areas of the simulation basin that have the maximum particle concentration were identified as the main sources of particle emission. In general, the performance of the WRF / Chem numerical model in this study confirms the applicability of this model in modeling and forecasting air quality, especially for air vents produced from natural emission sources such as erodible areas of deserts. The results showed that the studied dust phenomenon (November 24-27, 2016) dust particles from Jazmourian basin, were affected by northwestern currents and were transferred to Sistan and Baluchestan province and the border between Iran and Pakistan.
Keywords: simulation, Dust storm, WRF/Chem model, MODIS