پديد آورندگان :
كيقبادي، مريم دانشگاه سيستان و بلوچستان - گروه اقتصاد، زاهدان، ايران , پهلواني، مصيب دانشگاه سيستان و بلوچستان - گروه اقتصاد، زاهدان، ايران , حسينزاده، رمضان دانشگاه سيستان و بلوچستان - گروه اقتصاد، زاهدان، ايران
چكيده فارسي :
هدف: هدف از اين مطالعه بررسي اثرات مستقيم و سرريزي توسعه مالي بر رشد اقتصادي در مناطق مختلف اقتصاد ايران است.
روش: براي جمع آوري اطلاعات مربوط به تحقيق از روش اسنادي و يا كتابخانهاي استفاده شده كه دادههاي 30 استان كشور در دوره زماني 1394-1390 جمع آوري شده است و با استفاده از روش اقتصاد سنجي پانل فضايي به تجزيه و تحليل دادههاي به دست آمده پرداخته ميشود.
يافتهها: نتايج حاصل از تخمين مدل نشان ميدهد كه توسعه مالي اثر مثبت و معناداري بر رشد اقتصادي مناطق داشته است ولي اثرات سرريزي بر رشد مناطق و استانهاي همجوار ندارند. همچنين سرمايهگذاري مستقيم خارجي و سرانه جاده هم داراي اثر مثبت مستقيم و هم داراي اثر سرريزي مثبت بر رشد مناطق دارد.
نتيجهگيري: براساس نتايج حاصل از پژوهش، توسعه مالي تأثير مثبت و معنيداري بر رشد منطقهاي استانهاي ايران دارد.
چكيده لاتين :
Objective: One of the important topics in regional economic literature is inter-regional
communication and the influence of one region from other regions. In this way, economic
growth in one region can lead to growth and development in neighboring regions. Accordingly,
if one of the factors affecting economic growth, such as financial development, causes economic
growth in a region, the existence of spillover effects will also affect the economic growth of
neighboring regions. According to this theory, it can be said that financial development in an
area (if it has an intra-regional impact) can also have spatial effects (spillovers and betweenregional).
The objectives of this study are: 1- investigating the effect of direct effect of financial
development on the growth of Iranian provinces 2- spillover effects of financial development on
the growth of Iranian provinces 3- Effect of auxiliary variables such as foreign direct investment,
transaction value of Stock market, bank lending facilities, human capital and per capita road on
the growth of Iranian provinces.
Method: To collect information related to the research, a documentary or library method was
used in which the data of 30 provinces of the country in the period 2011-2015 were collected.
Then the data is analyzed using the spatial panel econometric method.
Results: Therefore, the results of model estimation show that financial development has had a
positive and significant effect on economic growth of regions, but no spillover effects on the
growth of neighboring regions and provinces. Also, foreign direct investment and road per capita
have both a direct positive effect and a positive spillovers effect on the growth of regions.
Human capital has also had a positive and significant direct effect on the economic growth of the
regions. The effects of its spillovers have also been significant on the growth of regions.Conclusion: According to the results of the study, financial development has a positive and
significant effect on the regional growth of Iran's provinces. One of the indicators of financial
development is the facilities granted by banks to the public and private sectors, which has a
positive and significant effect on economic growth. According to the results, if the granting of
credits and banking facilities to the applicants of private sector projects is done and since it is
one of the most important domestic sources for investment, by adopting the correct monetary
policies and using appropriate monetary instruments, private sector savings can be efficiently
equipped and directed to productive activities, so financial development through the optimal
allocation of capital resources and the provision of better and more efficient services, the field of
innovative activities. Improves and increases economic efficiency and ultimately leads to the
growth of neighboring areas.