پديد آورندگان :
جواهري تقدس، مصطفي دانشگاه هنر اصفهان، اصفهان، ايران , رفيعيان، محسن دانشگاه يزد، يزد، ايران , مطلب زاده، شيوا دانشگاه يزد، يزد، ايران
كليدواژه :
آﯾﻨﺪهﻧﮕﺎري ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮ ﮐﺎرﺑﺮي زﻣﯿﻦ , ﯾﺰد , راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎي ﻋﺮﺻــﻪي ﻣﯿﺮاث ﺟﻬﺎﻧﯽ , ﭘﯿﺸــﺮانﻫﺎي ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮ ﮐﺎرﺑﺮي زﻣﯿﻦ
چكيده فارسي :
ﺛﺒﺖ ﺑﺎﻓﺖ ﻫﺮ ﺷــﻬﺮ در ﻓﻬﺮﺳــﺖ ﻣﯿﺮاث ﺟﻬﺎﻧﯽ، ﻓﺮﺻــﺘﯽ ﺑﯽﺑﺪﯾﻞ ﭘﯿﺶ روي ﺗﻮﺳــﻌﻪي آن ﺷﻬﺮ ﻓﺮاﻫﻢ ﻣﯽآورد؛ ﻣﺘﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺑﺎ اﯾﻦ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ، ﭼﺎﻟﺶﻫﺎﯾﯽ ﻧﯿﺰ در ﺣﻮزهي ﮐﺎرﺑﺮي زﻣﯿﻦ ﺑﺮوز ﻣﯽﯾﺎﺑﺪ ﮐﻪ اﮔﺮ ﺑﻪدر ﺳﺘﯽ ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮن راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎي ﻋﺮ ﺻﻪي ﻣﯿﺮاث ﺟﻬﺎﻧﯽ اﻧﺪﯾ ﺸﯿﺪه ﻧ ﺸﻮد، ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮاﻧﺪ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮوز آﺛﺎر ﺳﻮء و ﺗﺨﺮﯾﺐ ﻣﯿﺮاث ارزﺷﻤﻨﺪ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﯽ ﮔﺮدد. در اﯾﻦ راﺳﺘﺎ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺳﻌﯽ دارد ﺑﺎ ﺗﺪوﯾﻦ و ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺳﻨﺎرﯾﻮﻫﺎي ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮ ﮐﺎرﺑﺮي زﻣﯿﻦ، اﻗﺪام ﺑﻪ راﻫﺒﺮدﻧﮕﺎري ﻋﺮ ﺻﻪي ﺛﺒﺖ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﯽ ﺷﻬﺮ ﯾﺰد ﮐﻨﺪ. روش ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻠﯽ ﻣﺒﺘﻨﯽ ﺑﺮ ﻓﻦ ﺳﻨﺎرﯾﻮ ﻧﮕﺎري ﺑﺎ اﺳــﺘﻔﺎده از ﻧﺮماﻓﺰار ﻣﯿﮏ ﻣﮏ و ﺳــﻨﺎرﯾﻮ وﯾﺰارد و در ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪي اراﺋﻪي راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎ اﺳــﺘﻔﺎده از روش ﮐﯿﻔﯽ ﻃﻮﻓﺎن ﻓﮑﺮي ﻣﯽﺑﺎ ﺷﺪ. ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻧ ﺸﺎن ﻣﯽدﻫﺪ؛ از ﺑﯿﻦ 69 ﻋﺎﻣﻠﯽ ﮐﻪ در 8 ﺣﻮزهي اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ، اﻗﺘﺼــﺎدي، ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﯽ، زﯾﺴــﺖﻣﺤﯿﻄﯽ، ﻓﻀــﺎﯾﯽ/ﮐﺎﻟﺒﺪي، ﺳــﯿﺎﺳــﯽ، دﺳـﺘﺮﺳـﯽ و ﻋﻤﻠﮑﺮدي ﺷـﻨﺎﺳـﺎﯾﯽ ﺷـﺪ، 14 ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ ﺑﻪﻋﻨﻮان ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﭘﯿﺸـﺮانﻫﺎي ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮ ﮐﺎرﺑﺮي ارا ﺿﯽ ﻋﺮ ﺻﻪي ﺛﺒﺖ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﯽ ﺷﻬﺮ ﯾﺰد ﺷﻨﺎ ﺳﺎﯾﯽ ﺷﺪه ﮐﻪ از اﯾﻦ ﻣﯿﺎن ﻇﺮﻓﯿﺖﻫﺎي ﻣﻮﺟﻮد زﻣﯿﻦ، ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮﮔﺬاري را داﺷﺘﻪ و ﭘﺲازآن ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﺗﯿﺐ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺣﻔﺎﻇﺖ، ﺿﻮاﺑﻂ و ﻣﻘﺮرات، دﺳــﺘﺮﺳــﯽ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺪﻣﺎت، ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ، ﻧﺤﻮهي ﭘﺮاﮐﻨﺶ ﻋﻤﻠﮑﺮدﻫﺎ، ﻃﺮحﻫﺎي ﻓﺮادﺳــﺖ، ا ﺷﺘﻐﺎل در ﺑﺨﺶ ﺧﺪﻣﺎت، و ﺿﻌﯿﺖ ﮐﻤﯽ و ﮐﯿﻔﯽ ﺧﺪﻣﺎت ﮔﺮد ﺷﮕﺮي، ﻗﯿﻤﺖ زﻣﯿﻦ، ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ آب، اﻣﻨﯿﺖ، دﺳــﺘﺮﺳــﯽ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺒﮑﻪي ﻣﻌﺎﺑﺮ و ﻣﺸــﺎرﮐﺖ، ﺑﯿﺶﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮﮔﺬاري ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﯿﻢ را داﺷﺘﻪاﻧﺪ. ﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﺗﻌﯿﯿﻦ ﻋﺪم ﻗﻄﻌﯿﺖ ﭘﯿﺸﺮانﻫﺎ و ﺗﺠﺰﯾﻪ و ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ آنﻫﺎ، ﻣﻌﺮﻓﯽ ﺳﻪ ﺳﻨﺎرﯾﻮ ﺣﻔﺎﻇﺖ، ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ و اﻓﻮل اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﻣﺘﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺑﺎ ﻓﻀﺎي ﻫﺮ ﮐﺪام، راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎﯾﯽ اراﺋﻪ ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ؛ با اين خردمايه كه بستر مناسبي براي تصميم‌گيري‌ها و راهبردهاي پابرجاي آتي فراهم آيد.
چكيده لاتين :
Registration of a city in the list of the World Heritage provides an unparalleled opportunity for the development of that city. Parallel with this opportunity, there are also some challenges in the field of land use that, if not thought over properly, can lead to adverse effects and destruction of valuable world heritage. In this regard, the present study tries to futurize the land uses in Yazd through formulating and analyzing the scenarios of land use change and pave the way for their world registration. The research method is analytical based on the scenario technique using the Mick Mac software and wizard scenario. The results show that among the 69 factors identified in eight fields of social, economic, cultural, environmental, spatial / physical, political, accessability, and functional areas, 14 variables can be considered as the most important driving factors of the land use change in the field of world heritage registration of Yazd. Among these factors, the existing capacities of land has the most impact on land use change and after that conservation, rules and regulations, access to services, population, distribution of functions, outreach plans, employment in the service sector, quantitative and qualitative status of tourism services, land value, water resources, security, access to the road network, and participation have had the greatest direct impact. The atmospheres which the impact of these drivers will have on the future of land use in the world heritage area are classified into three scenarios of conservation, development, and decline. The first scenario as the selected one, considering the principles of conservation and suggestions of the superordinate plan and observing the laws and regulations, will improve the other factors and bring a good future for the world heritage registration.
