مديريت تاب آوري شهري در مواجهه با پاندمي كرونا(مطالعه موردي شهر اصفهان)

Urban resilience management in the face of corona pandemic (Case study of Isfahan)

ﮔﺴﺘﺮش ﺷﯿﻮع وﯾﺮوس ﮐﺮوﻧﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪرﯾﺞ از ﺳﺎل 2020 ﺗﺎﮐﻨﻮن ﻫﻤﻪ دﻧﯿﺎ را ﺗﺤـﺖ ﺗـﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻗـﺮار داده اﺳـﺖ. ﮔﺴﺘﺮش اﯾﻦ وﯾﺮوس در ﻓﻀﺎﻫﺎي ﺷﻬﺮي ﺑﻪ دﻻﯾﻞ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ، ﺷـﺪت ﺑـ ﯿﺶ ﺗـﺮ ي دارد و ﻋﻤﻠﮑـﺮد ﻣـﺪﯾﺮﯾﺖ ﺷﻬﺮي در زﻣﯿﻨﻪ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﺗﺎب آوري در ﻣﻮاﺟﻬﻪ ﺑﺎ اﯾﻦ ﻫﻤﻪ ﮔﯿﺮي ﺑﺴﯿﺎر اﻫﻤﯿﺖ دارد. در اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻫﺪف ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﺗﺎب آوري ﺷﻬﺮي در ﻣﻮاﺟﻬﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﻪ ﮔﯿﺮي ﮐﺮوﻧﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮرت ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻣﻮردي در ﺷﻬﺮ اﺻـﻔﻬﺎن اﺳـﺖ. روش ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺗﻮﺻﯿﻔﯽ-ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻠﯽ اﺳﺖ. ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎري ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ را ﺷﻬﺮوﻧﺪان ﺑﺎﻻي 20 ﺳﺎل ﺷـﻬﺮ اﺻـﻔﻬﺎن ﺗﺸﮑﯿﻞ داده ﮐﻪ 1382112 ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﻮده اﻧﺪ. ﺑﺮ اﺳﺎس ﻓﺮﻣﻮل ﮐﻮﮐﺮان ﺣﺠﻢ ﻧﻤﻮﻧـﻪ 322 ﻧﻔـﺮ ﻣﺤﺎﺳـﺒﻪ ﺷـﺪ. ﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ آزﻣﻮن در زﻣﯿﻨﻪ ﺗﺎب آوري اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﺷﻬﺮي در ﻣﻮاﺟﻬﻪ ﺑﺎ ﮐﺮوﻧﺎ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫﺪ ﮐﻪ اﯾـﻦ ﻣﺆﻟﻔـﻪ در ﺳﻄﺢ ﮐﻢ ﺗﺮ از 0/05 ﻣﻌﻨﺎدار اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ اﺧﺘﻼف ﻣﯿﺎﻧﮕﯿﻦ )0/018-( و آﻣﺎر ﺗﯽ ﺑﺮاﺑﺮ ﺑـﺎ 0/644- ﺗﺄﯾﯿـ ﺪ ﻣﯽ ﮐﻨﺪ ﮐﻪ ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﺗﺎب آوري اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ در ﻣﻮاﺟﻬﻪ ﺑﺎ وﯾﺮوس ﮐﺮوﻧﺎ در ﺷﻬﺮ اﺻﻔﻬﺎن ﻣﻄﻠﻮب ﻧﯿﺴﺖ. اﯾـﻦ ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﺑﺮاي ﺗﺎب آوري اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي، ﻧﻬﺎدي و ﮐﺎﻟﺒﺪي ﻧﯿﺰ در ﺳﻄﺢ ﮐﻢ ﺗـﺮ از 0/05 ﺗﺄﯾﯿـ ﺪ ﻣـ ﯽ ﺷـﻮد . ﺑﺮﺧـﯽ ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮﻫﺎي ﺗﺎب آوري ﺷﻬﺮي ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﻣﺸﺎرﮐﺖ ﻏﯿﺮرﺳـﻤﯽ، آﮔـﺎﻫﯽ ﺷـﻬﺮوﻧﺪان، ﭘﺎﺳـﺦ ﮔـﻮﯾﯽ اﻟﮑﺘﺮوﻧﯿﮑـ ﯽ، ﻃﺮح ﻫﺎي ﭘﯿﺶ ﮔﯿﺮي و ﻣﻨﻊ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﯿﺖ ﻫﺎي ﻏﯿﺮﺿﺮوري، ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ ارزﯾﺎﺑﯽ ﺷﺪه اﻧﺪ. رﮔﺮﺳﯿﻮن ﺗﺄﯾﯿـ ﺪ ﮐـﺮد ﮐـﻪ ﻣﺪﯾﺮﯾﺖ ﺗﺎب آوري ﺷﻬﺮي ﺑﺎ ﺿﺮﯾﺐ 0/720، اﺛﺮﮔﺬاري و ﻗﺪرت ﺗﺒﯿﯿﻦ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺑﯽ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻪ ﮔﯿﺮي ﮐﺮوﻧﺎ دارﻧﺪ. در ﺣﻘﯿﻘﺖ ﺑﯿﺶ از 72 درﺻﺪ ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮاﻧﺪ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮﮔﺬار ﺑﺎﺷﺪ. ﺑﯿﺶ ﺗﺮﯾﻦ اﺛﺮ ﻣﺮﺑﻮط ﺑﻪ ﺗﺎب آوري اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ ﺑﺎ 24 درﺻﺪ و ﺳﭙﺲ ﺗﺎب آوري ﻧﻬﺎدي ﺑﺎ 21 درﺻﺪ اﺳﺖ.

The spread of the corona virus has gradually affected the whole world since 2020. This impact is visible from economic, social and personal aspects. The spread of the virus in urban areas is more severe for various reasons, and the performance of urban management in increasing resilience in the face of this pandemic is very important. The aim of this study was to investigate urban resilience in the face of corona pandemic as a case study in Isfahan. The research method is descriptive-analytical and based on field data collection. The statistical population of the study consisted of citizens over 20 years of age in Isfahan, which amounted to 1382112 people. Based on Cochran's formula, a sample size of 322 people was calculated.Examination of the difference between the mean of the test (-0.018) and the t-test equal to -0.644 confirms that from the statistical point of view, the urban social resilience index in the face of coronavirus in Isfahan is not desirable.The regression result confirmed that urban resilience management with a coefficient of 0.720 has a favorable effect and explanatory power compared to the corona pandemic. In fact, more than 72% can be effective. The greatest effect is related to social resilience index with 24% and then institutional resilience with 21%.