كليدواژه :
داده هاي تابلويي , تحليل خوشه اي , الگوي جاذبه , يكپارچگي اقتصادي و منطقه اي , جهاني شدن اقتصاد
چكيده لاتين :
In die present time, phenomenon like globalization, regionalism and economic integration are die basic issues which bring many positive consequences to die world economy. Regionalism and economic integration are one of die ways that developing countries can adopt to collate the globalization process. To acknowledge their own abilities or, to settle die commercial and economic disputes in their regions by using their comparative advantages, and getting the inherent readiness to merge to die world economy with a longer process.
This paper, firstlly reviews the process of globalization, economic integration and their effects on domestic and international economies. Then recalls some evidences on this basis from Iran and examins die appropriate economic integration for die selected Middle East countries by using cluster analysis and utilizing the " Generalized Gravity Model" and its estimation on "Panel Data" method. Generalized gravity model with Panel Data method, is done using variables such as GDP, economic structure, population, geographic situation, cultural contributions and per capita income.
The results show that economic integration cm the base of indices GDP, STR and POP; globalization indicators could increase the volume of trade and create opportunities for more exports and imports. In die other words, the economic integration could increase trade potential of Iranian economy according to GDP, STR, and POP indieesly by 153 percent, 99 percent and 28 percent respectively.
