عوامل موثر بر رشد صنعت گردشگري ايران

Factors Effecting the Growth of Tourism Industry in Iran

Which factors are considered as effective elements to growth of tourism in Iran? Additional number of the room in a hotel, the cost of a room in a hotel, or the exchange rate? The training of the human resources who are working for the tourist industry, the tourist agencies, inflation rate and war are the explanatory variables that have an effective role in increasing the incomes of the foreign tourism as a dependent variable in Iran. Research Data is time series 1979-2007. ARDL technique are used to estimate the long-run model and to determine the cause- effect relationship among the variables. The results of this research shows that the coefficient of the variables which are related to the (number of the room in a hotel), (the foreign exchange receipt of the previous periods), (the cost of a room in a hotel), (the exchange rate), and (the tourist agencies) are meaningful and have the expected sign.