بررسي اثرات اجراي سياستهاي كلي اصل 44 بر متغيرهاي كلان اقتصادي با استفاده از رهيافت مدل CGE

The Impact of Iranian Privatization Program on Key Macroeconomic Variables: A CGE Model Approach

State - Market position in Iranian Economy is determined according to headlines given in article 44 of IR of Iran Constitution. According to the article 44, most of important economic activities like telecommunication, power generation, shipping, airways, railways, etc. should be owned and operated by state unless it is harmful for economic development of the country. That is why many Iranian economists believed there was less opportunity for private sector participation in Iranian economy. Recently, Iranian Government has started new privatization program according to which 80% of total shares of most of the SOEʹs should be transferred to private sector. The main goals of this program are to increase productivity of Iranian economy, reducing monopolies and promoting competition among firms. This paper examines the effect of Iranian privatization program, on some key economic variables like GDP, employment, inflation, trade, etc. by using a CGE model. According to the results obtained in this research, output, employment, trade volume are expected to increase after privatization, but inflation rate would be reduced.